Some good news heading into Christmas

Some good news heading into Christmas

Today, in a private ceremony, away from the prying eyes of the "Fake Media", Donald Trump signed the $1.5 trillion giveaway into law.

This is significant. There was talk about holding off the signing until the new year, in order to avoid a bruising fight to waive mandated cuts to programs like Medicare until 2019. Instead, because Trump is a moron, he signed it today.

In related news, Politico and FiveThirtyEight both have stories today about the coming Democratic wave. From Politico:

The backstage talks provide a window into how those closest to Trump are bracing for a possible bloodbath in the 2018 midterms, which could obliterate the Republican congressional majorities and paralyze the president’s legislative agenda. The potential for a Democratic wave has grown after Republican losses this fall in Virginia, New Jersey and Alabama, and as the president’s approval ratings have plummeted to the 30s.

Meanwhile, at FiveThirtyEight:

First, Democrats are probably favorites to win the House. Their current advantage is larger than the lead Republicans had at this point in the 1994 cycle, the lead Democrats held at this point in the 2006 cycle or the lead Republicans had at this point in the 2010 cycle. Those were all years when the minority party won control of the House. And a 12 percentage point Democratic advantage in the national House vote come next November would likely be more than enough for the House to flip again. I’ve previously calculated that the Democrats need to win the national House vote by 5.5 to 8 points to win the House.

Enacting and signing a grossly unpopular giveaway to the super-rich is not going to make things any easier for the Republicans. In fact, even supposedly safe incumbents might get swept away, like Democratic House Speaker Tom Foley was in 1994. And those Republicans who pushed through this tax scam thinking they'll cash in with sinecures after they get voted out? Expect a Democratic Congress to jam through a repeal of this attempt to create a new Gilded Age.

Now, if Donald Trump were a normal politician, he would be trying to figure out a way to limit the damage. But he's not normal. He's loathed in large parts of the country. Remember, even in Alabama his numbers were 50/50. When blood-red Alabama no longer blindly supports you, you can speak happy-talk as much as you want; it won't blunt the fact that his party is facing monumental losses. Trump can't pivot. Trump is who he is: deeply unpopular, without the rhetorical gifts to change that animus.

So, enjoy your Christmas turkey (or lechón or tamales). Rest up. Next year is going to require all out effort to save our Republic.



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